Bayesian Structural Time Series

Top 3 podcast episodes answering this question on AskThePods · bayesian structural time series.

Answer

Luke Austin breaks down CTC's four proprietary forecasting models that achieve 3.1% accuracy across $3 billion in GMV.

Source: The Modeling System That Powers 30%+ Revenue Growth on Ecommerce Playbook.

Top episodes

  1. 1. The Modeling System That Powers 30%+ Revenue Growth

    Ecommerce Playbook

    Luke Austin breaks down CTC's four proprietary forecasting models that achieve 3.1% accuracy across $3 billion in GMV.

  2. 2. How We Forecast Millions in Revenue for DTC Brands

    Ecommerce Playbook

    A deep dive into the 'Prophit System,' a forecasting method involving linear regression, seasonality, and time decay to predict DTC revenue.

  3. 3. 2026 Forecast Planning: Board vs Budget vs Bonus Explained

    Ecommerce Playbook

    Explains a 3-forecast model system (Board, Budget, Bonus) that ensembles multiple individual time-series models including seasonality and competitive impacts.

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