EP251 - 2021 Annual Predictions 2020 Recap – Predictions made on episode 204 2020 Predictions Recap Scot Shopify wilts a bit – new competition comes out with different angles (marketcap stays static) – No Fedex does something drastic – buy eBay? Merge with Alibaba? No (but shoprunner for 0.5) The year of returns – "happy returns" – a startup raises $100M+ in space. No (but 0.5 for year of returns) Mallageddon continues At least another 8k stores Yes 8721 stores +1 Google gets aggressive in ecommerce Yes +1 (Bill Ready, etc…) Score 3/5 Jason Walmart – growth slows due to completion of grocery build out. Marc Lore leaves Walmart. No on growth, yes on Marc Lore (0.5) Amazon – Opens affordable grocery concept. Digital grocery wars heat up. Yes Owned brands continue to grow. 5% of retail in 2019, could be 8-10% in 2020 (as measured by IRI, for CPG private label). Yes Installment Payments heat up – At least one company is acquired (Affirm, Afterpay, Klarna, QuadPay, Sizzle) Yes (IPO's) Digital in-store heats up, QR codes make a comeback Yes Score 4.5/5 2021 Predictions Jason: Made to Order apparel business > 9 figures Retailer offers viable health alt insurance option to consumers Grocery E-Com > 10% someone deploys(not pilots) MFC Amazon Shopify Competitor (shipping solution) <li ar